Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.003803 2.179570 2.366894 2.581927 2.822604 3.084427 3.391807
2025-11-30 1.777511 2.023005 2.300383 2.639074 3.044280 3.517045 4.115579
2025-12-07 1.594955 1.873848 2.202303 2.621764 3.149120 3.798181 4.670164
2025-12-14 1.454869 1.752085 2.113708 2.592385 3.218991 4.025230 5.164475
2025-12-21 1.316721 1.616635 1.990998 2.500903 3.190550 4.110916 5.467713
2025-12-28 1.242534 1.553805 1.951966 2.509488 3.288079 4.365616 6.023811
2026-01-04 1.186990 1.509460 1.931329 2.537433 3.409791 4.659781 6.665421
2026-01-11 1.140280 1.472500 1.916213 2.569125 3.535911 4.967900 7.360662
2026-01-18 1.097136 1.436773 1.899082 2.594584 3.652165 5.268674 8.077507
2026-01-25 1.051981 1.394958 1.869814 2.598627 3.734078 5.520791 8.741531
2026-02-01 0.993210 1.330376 1.803658 2.542018 3.715572 5.607485 9.125333
2026-02-08 0.945266 1.278535 1.752625 2.504115 3.722229 5.733702 9.592323
2026-02-15 0.906797 1.239189 1.718769 2.492007 3.772179 5.942109 10.250397
2026-02-22 0.890454 1.231343 1.731284 2.553469 3.948934 6.388882 11.438639
2026-03-01 0.856085 1.194732 1.697740 2.537913 3.992225 6.599026 12.179223
2026-03-08 0.821382 1.155859 1.658440 2.509887 4.010621 6.763436 12.846395
2026-03-15 0.775373 1.097697 1.586093 2.422117 3.915383 6.701709 13.006970
2026-03-22 0.754069 1.076630 1.571208 2.430361 3.994391 6.985580 13.993661
2026-03-29 0.738139 1.063110 1.567506 2.457182 4.109281 7.352207 15.238178
2026-04-05 0.723881 1.051494 1.566115 2.487596 4.232909 7.749592 16.632333
2026-04-12 0.709216 1.038515 1.561688 2.512024 4.346498 8.137880 18.079861
2026-04-19 0.691411 1.019693 1.546537 2.515903 4.419386 8.445265 19.373276
2026-04-26 0.663770 0.983830 1.501129 2.461583 4.370575 8.475270 19.899205